Independence Referendum: Have you decided?

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Independence Referendum: Have you decided?

Independence Referendum: Have you decided?

  • I'm undecided but leaning towards no

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As it's the final week of campaigning for the referendum let's see how things lie politically for FS members. Do you know which way you're voting? If you're still undecided which side are you leaning towards? Will you be watching as the results come in or are you now so fed up of it you'll be going to bed early?

The last thread got a bit heated which admittedly can be expected with such an important topic for Scotland and unfortunately a lot of posts had to be removed. Please remember that we are a friendly site so I'd appreciate it if you keep things respectful by debating rather than shouting people down if they don't agree with you. We aren't politicians so let's not behave like them.

A word of warning - After the hassle of last time any comments about Celtic/Rangers fans will be removed and if I'm busy then the chances are I'll simply delete the entire post rather than the offending comment. As I said previously I think we all agree there are idiots in both camps so let's just leave it at that.

Over to you folks
 
Ive made my mind up and will be voting yes.

Not saying for a second that itll be an easy ride or plain sailing buy theres definately the ability to take control of our own destiny and run the country a little better than its being run at present!
 
Martyn said:
Ive made my mind up and will be voting yes.

Not saying for a second that itll be an easy ride or plain sailing buy theres definately the ability to take control of our own destiny and run the country a little better than its being run at present!

Absolutely where i am.

And the more i hear from the NO side, the more convinced i am that Yes is the correct choice.
 
I have already voted as im away, and im a YES. We have the potential to be brilliand, but im wary that one bad decision from our government may really damage us.

Whoever is in power need to put money back into the trades we have lost in the last 40 years, shipbuilding, engineering, joinery etc. Apprenticeships NEED to be created, and the benefits system HAS to be brutal but fair to all..
 
I'm sad to report that I'm voting no on Thursday as the Yes campaign have failed to convince me that they know what they are doing.

Scotland has a strong and proud history of being innovative, creative, and industrial. We are a bright and intelligent nation and yet the people who want lead us to independence either can't get the brains together to come up with honest answers to fundamental questions or don't trust us enough to vote Yes when faced with all possibilities. All plans should have been clearly laid out to the voters even the contingency ones for if the worst happens and everything goes against us. Instead we're being asked to vote on supposition with the negotiations starting after the referendum.

It's all too much of a gamble for me and it's the unknown that's leading me to vote no. Tell me the worst. Inform me of how the country is going to attract businesses if we have to form our own currency. Warn me that interest rates may be unpredictable for a few years after independence while we establish ourselves. Give me the whole picture and I can then make a proper decision based on what I believe Scotland can achieve. Instead all I have is bluff and guess work and that is what is scaring me and stopping me from voting Yes on Thursday. Trust me to make a wholly informed decision and I may trust them to implement things properly. As it is I don't think our politicians will get it right as both sides, in my opinion, have gotten their campaigns so badly wrong.

I'm genuinely worried about what I'll be waking up to on Friday :(
 
I'll do my best to try and put my views onto your post as a few of the points raised are why i'm voting yes. Not trying to convince you otherwise, i probably can't!.

Harper said:
I'm sad to report that I'm voting no on Thursday as the Yes campaign have failed to convince me that they know what they are doing.]

Have the no campaign convinced you we are "better together"? if we are, what are these benefits and why do we not have them now?

Scotland has a strong and proud history of being innovative, creative, and industrial. We are a bright and intelligent nation and yet the people who want lead us to independence either can't get the brains together to come up with honest answers to fundamental questions or don't trust us enough to vote Yes when faced with all possibilities
.

There has been a lack of complete honesty on both sides, i totally agree. However a lot of that lack of honesty on both sides is that not everything is all rosey on both sides, saying so just gives the other camps ammunition of "even they say this is ****".

All plans should have been clearly laid out to the voters even the contingency ones for if the worst happens and everything goes against us. Instead we're being asked to vote on supposition with the negotiations starting after the referendum.

This is the no campaigns trump card, uncertainty. Not everything can be laid out because rUK won't negotiate until after the campaign, why would they want to make things black and white now? it would be them handing away their main advantage by giving answers. Equally, you could point the exact same accusation at No, what is their plan in the even of a no vote?, they haven't set out anything concrete or even enticing. What is their economic plan for Scotland? are they planning more cuts for us? does the situation change when the specter of us threatening to walk gets avoided?

It's all too much of a gamble for me and it's the unknown that's leading me to vote no.

Which is their trap. Even when they get answers, clear answers at that, they pretend they never heard them. There are plenty unknowns for a No vote too, what other powers would we get (if any?), what is the economic plan for when the oil runs out (which they keep throwing at yes, like a no vote will lead it to last forever) and we are faced with a country of 60+ million, a massive defecit, debt and the loss of status as an oil producer (which has a large effect on the stability of the currency)? why won't the uk be a lumbering giant that can't react to that?.

Tell me the worst. Inform me of how the country is going to attract businesses if we have to form our own currency. Warn me that interest rates may be unpredictable for a few years after independence while we establish ourselves. Give me the whole picture and I can then make a proper decision based on what I believe Scotland can achieve.

They already have, the plan is to change business taxation rates to make them comparatively more attractive. We don't have to form our own currency (yet, perhaps it would be desirable in future.... it's not a static situation that what we start with is what we must stick and end with!). We will use the £, we can re-evaluate at a later date, the beauty of running your own affairs is that you can do what is right for you when your only focus is yourself.

Instead all I have is bluff and guess work and that is what is scaring me and stopping me from voting Yes on Thursday. Trust me to make a wholly informed decision and I may trust them to implement things properly. As it is I don't think our politicians will get it right as both sides, in my opinion, have gotten their campaigns so badly wrong.

Again, No have run a horrible, horrible campaign (i have called it elsewhere one of the worst political campaigns in history), what makes you think voting no will lead to them getting it right?

This is my post from the other forum.

Me on eastfootball

I was always in the "Devo-Max without full seperation" camp, had that been on the ballot, that'd be 100% what i'd have voted for. However the fact it wasn't, at first lead me to have a strong leaning to no, with the hope/belief of more powers.

However, the No campaign has done arguably more to make me a yes than yes have. I want to know why we are better together, why it's all a positive thing, how we as a country and the uk as a nation as a whole will benefit in future, how we can maybe make things fairer and better. All things they have not provided one single satisfactory answer to in 2 and a half years.

Yes on the other hand have at least tried to paint a positive picture of what Scotland can be whilst No have arrogantly cornered themselves into a position where they have made Yes the option closest to what i want and tried to bully us into feeling we need them.

All they had to do was treat us like partners, not their pet.

This is before they started wheeling out war veterans, saying we are betraying them for voting against what they died for, holding up the dead from the Iraq war for political points scoring (a war... to quote another eastie post of mine "soldiers that died fighting an illegal war the UK Government sent them to.

Soldiers whose blood is on the hands of the government that is now holding them up to make the public feel guilty enough to forget why they died and back the people that sent them there.")
I'm genuinely worried about what I'll be waking up to on Friday :(

Absolutely. no matter what happens, there will be fallout :( not only that, i genuinely fear for the country in general for a no vote, this indyref has given the country hope of a better future, what happens if we reject that and lose our "hope"? the mentality and mood of the nation will be horrible, i don't think it will ever truly recover. We need this IMO, even standing on our own two feet and things not working out as planned feels better than turning down the chance to control our own future as a country.
 
Mrcento said:
I'll do my best to try and put my views onto your post as a few of the points raised are why i'm voting yes. Not trying to convince you otherwise, i probably can't!.

There's absolutely no reason why you can't try to change my mind. I would love to vote yes and if someone can convince me independence is not going to end up a very expensive mistake I will do so



Mrcento said:
Have the no campaign convinced you we are "better together"? if we are, what are these benefits and why do we not have them now?

The No campaign don't need to convince me of anything. As I've said previously I don't think we have things so bad in this country that independence is desperately needed. We're not oppressed, we don't have a disparate foreign policy and were definitely not being held under a totalitarian regime despite what some people will tell you. At worst we don't have complete control over how our money is spent and even with independence that's still going to be the case for many of us except it will be Holyrood rather than Westminster holding the purse strings. I suspect that in a few years time Aberdeen and area will still be sending all it's money south without getting the investment it requires back no matter what the outcome is on Thursday. It's happening now and it's unlikely to change just because the seat of power is closer.

The Yes campaign on the other hand have to convince me that they aren't going to make a complete mess of running an independent Scotland and they have so far failed to do so


Mrcento said:
There has been a lack of complete honesty on both sides, i totally agree. However a lot of that lack of honesty on both sides is that not everything is all rosey on both sides, saying so just gives the other camps ammunition of "even they say this is ****".

I think we're all in agreement that nothing is ever going to be rosy when politics are involved and most people are realistic enough to know that there are going to be changes for the better and worse no matter what is decided. However the Yes campaign have really not helped themselves by insisting that an independent Scotland will share the pound and will be accepted by the EU. The problem is many of us know this isn't as clear-cut as they make it out to be and by failing to let voters know how they will run things if they don't get what they want they have sent many of us running over to the No side. I certainly would have had a lot more respect for them if they'd laid out the worst case scenario and had a plan to deal with it rather than insisting it will all go their way.



Mrcento said:
This is the no campaigns trump card, uncertainty. Not everything can be laid out because rUK won't negotiate until after the campaign, why would they want to make things black and white now? it would be them handing away their main advantage by giving answers. Equally, you could point the exact same accusation at No, what is their plan in the even of a no vote?, they haven't set out anything concrete or even enticing. What is their economic plan for Scotland? are they planning more cuts for us? does the situation change when the specter of us threatening to walk gets avoided?


Which continues my theme of above. If the Yes campaign had acknowledged that because rUK wouldn't negotiate with them they couldn't say for certain what would happen and then gone on to outline how they would deal with that then I'd have far more respect for them and be leaning towards voting yes. Whereas the No campaign don't really have to say much as a no vote is simply to keep things as the are. And although the Scotland Act 2012 can not be described as enticing as a plan for a way forward it is most definitely concrete as it has been passed and likely to be implemented from 2015 onwards I believe. This will give the Scottish Government power to raise or lower taxes by 10p as it sees fit, greater control over borrowing and the ability to change various other taxes such as stamp duty amongst other things

Mrcento said:
Which is their trap. Even when they get answers, clear answers at that, they pretend they never heard them. There are plenty unknowns for a No vote too, what other powers would we get (if any?), what is the economic plan for when the oil runs out (which they keep throwing at yes, like a no vote will lead it to last forever) and we are faced with a country of 60+ million, a massive defecit, debt and the loss of status as an oil producer (which has a large effect on the stability of the currency)? why won't the uk be a lumbering giant that can't react to that?.

So what are the clear answers for currency, the EU and what does the Yes campaign have planned for Scotland when the oil runs out? It works both ways



Mrcento said:
They already have, the plan is to change business taxation rates to make them comparatively more attractive. We don't have to form our own currency (yet, perhaps it would be desirable in future.... it's not a static situation that what we start with is what we must stick and end with!). We will use the £, we can re-evaluate at a later date, the beauty of running your own affairs is that you can do what is right for you when your only focus is yourself.

Then they need to shout more loudly about their plans for attractive business taxation rates because the message isn't getting across and that is why so many are threatening to relocate from Scotland if there is a Yes vote. Big businesses don't care about patriotism, they only care about the money. The Yes campaign should have been working harder to convince them that Scotland will prosper and they will make money if they stay here. This would then have had a knock-on effect of greater confidence in an independent Scotland. I really despair of how they've run this :(



Mrcento said:
Again, No have run a horrible, horrible campaign (i have called it elsewhere one of the worst political campaigns in history), what makes you think voting no will lead to them getting it right?

This is my post from the other forum.



This is before they started wheeling out war veterans, saying we are betraying them for voting against what they died for, holding up the dead from the Iraq war for political points scoring (a war... to quote another eastie post of mine "soldiers that died fighting an illegal war the UK Government sent them to.

Soldiers whose blood is on the hands of the government that is now holding them up to make the public feel guilty enough to forget why they died and back the people that sent them there.")

Again I'm voting no because I don't think we have things so bad in Scotland that it's worth running the risk of getting this so badly wrong. In your post on eastfootball you state that the Yes campaign have tried to paint a positive picture of what Scotland can be but the problem with this is it's been done on misinformation and supposition. It's easy to be positive if you are ignoring the very real possibility of not getting your own way. On the other hand the No campaign don't need to work so hard to do this because they're not trying to sell utopia and we're already pretty comfortable as we are compared to the majority of the world.


Mrcento said:
Absolutely. no matter what happens, there will be fallout :( not only that, i genuinely fear for the country in general for a no vote, this indyref has given the country hope of a better future, what happens if we reject that and lose our "hope"? the mentality and mood of the nation will be horrible, i don't think it will ever truly recover. We need this IMO, even standing on our own two feet and things not working out as planned feels better than turning down the chance to control our own future as a country.

I'm genuinely worried I'm waking up to a yes vote and possible economic chaos. I don't think a no vote is going to have as much impact despite what the Yes campaign tries to tell us with it's propaganda that Westminster will punish us for simply holding the referendum even if the outcome is No. I honestly can't see what benefit they'd gain from an impoverished Scotland plus it would appear incredibly petty to the rest of Europe and indeed any other country in the world who is following this. I suspect with a no vote the Scotland 2012 Act will be implemented and we'll carry on providing a better education than the rest of the UK, have a more superior healthcare system (scary but true according to the people I know who work in the NHS) and living in a nicer country
 
Harper said:
There's absolutely no reason why you can't try to change my mind. I would love to vote yes and if someone can convince me independence is not going to end up a very expensive mistake I will do so

No challenge then :laugh: , there's no way any of us can say 100% for sure what will happen after yes or no, for all we know staying as we are could be a very expensive mistake too. Look at other countries that have become independent, they did it, why can't we? they were in worse places economically that us, what makes is "destined to fail"? we have a better economic track record (yes, even with the recession) and a bit of a safety net with our oil reserves and renewable potential.

The No campaign don't need to convince me of anything.

I guess that's where we differ most, they have to for me. All i wanted to hear is why we are better together, if i got clear answers to that then i would be less likely to consider a risk as a better option, but they can't even tell us what powers they are sort of "promising" let alone what benefits us already by staying. They basically failed to even acknowledge a problem, let alone convince us we are better where we are.

As I've said previously I don't think we have things so bad in this country that independence is desperately needed. We're not oppressed, we don't have a disparate foreign policy and were definitely not being held under a totalitarian regime despite what some people will tell you.

I'm going to argue this point too. Just because we "don't have it so bad" doesn't mean we can't aim for better. I'd also argue that we don't have it bad.... Lowest life expectancy in western europe, lowest standard of living in western europe, highest rate of child poverty in western europe, one of the lowest average wages in western europe... but LOOK, we've got nukes! :D

I suspect that in a few years time Aberdeen and area will still be sending all it's money south without getting the investment it requires back no matter what the outcome is on Thursday. It's happening now and it's unlikely to change just because the seat of power is closer.

Aberdeen to the UK isn't overly important in the grand scheme of things, to the Scottish Governement, it's our third biggest city and the main hub to a huge economic plus, i'd say the odds of it getting more attention are a little better with yes.

The Yes campaign on the other hand have to convince me that they aren't going to make a complete mess of running an independent Scotland and they have so far failed to do so

What would they have to do? they are fighting this with one arm tied behind their back due to Westminster not negotiating.

I think we're all in agreement that nothing is ever going to be rosy when politics are involved and most people are realistic enough to know that there are going to be changes for the better and worse no matter what is decided. However the Yes campaign have really not helped themselves by insisting that an independent Scotland will share the pound and will be accepted by the EU.

Absolutely agree, however we will use the pound, the only matter up for discussion is whether it is via a union (the sensible option for all, including rUK, more on that later) set up our own central bank and basically tie the value to the uk £ in the way some countries (successfully, i may add) do with the dollar. Aberdeen asset managment no less say regardless, either solution can work well.

The problem is many of us know this isn't as clear-cut as they make it out to be and by failing to let voters know how they will run things if they don't get what they want they have sent many of us running over to the No side. I certainly would have had a lot more respect for them if they'd laid out the worst case scenario and had a plan to deal with it rather than insisting it will all go their way.

Sadly, that is political gamesmanship. Yes won't give a worst case plan even if they have one, just as much as rUK won't give is a positive outlook.

Which continues my theme of above. If the Yes campaign had acknowledged that because rUK wouldn't negotiate with them they couldn't say for certain what would happen and then gone on to outline how they would deal with that then I'd have far more respect for them and be leaning towards voting yes.

But they have touched on it, however they can't outline what will happen until they do negotiate. I believe the "no currency union" is a total bluff. As mentioned before, we are an oil producing nation, it does plug a big gap in the uk economy. Losing Scotland would tip rUK into being an oil consumer which weakens the value of the £. Having the "currencies" linked keeps the uk £ stronger. That is the real reason for companies being nervous, the UK £ dropping in value is their worry, not what happens to us, only what happens to the bigger share of their profit.

Whereas the No campaign don't really have to say much as a no vote is simply to keep things as the are.

Is it though? and as said, is that a good thing even if it is? they haven't convinced.

And although the Scotland Act 2012 can not be described as enticing as a plan for a way forward it is most definitely concrete as it has been passed and likely to be implemented from 2015 onwards I believe. This will give the Scottish Government power to raise or lower taxes by 10p as it sees fit, greater control over borrowing and the ability to change various other taxes such as stamp duty amongst other things
We could have that and a hell of a lot more with yes though. The Uk Government also have power to still take away other powers, giveth with one hand, taketh away with the other?

So what are the clear answers for currency, the EU and what does the Yes campaign have planned for Scotland when the oil runs out? It works both ways

Currency i mentioned earlier, Oil, we are setting up an oil fund and investing in renewables, something that the uk government is reluctant to do. There is also the potential of more oil on the west coast which the uk government will not let is extract due to the proximity to trident.

Then they need to shout more loudly about their plans for attractive business taxation rates because the message isn't getting across and that is why so many are threatening to relocate from Scotland if there is a Yes vote. Big businesses don't care about patriotism, they only care about the money. The Yes campaign should have been working harder to convince them that Scotland will prosper and they will make money if they stay here. This would then have had a knock-on effect of greater confidence in an independent Scotland. I really despair of how they've run this :(

I kind of agree. However when your best currency plan can't be finalised due to the other party not talking for fear of making up peoples mind for their rivals, it's akin to fighting with one hand behind your back and that fear is Westminster's weapon.

I'm genuinely worried I'm waking up to a yes vote and possible economic chaos. I don't think a no vote is going to have as much impact despite what the Yes campaign tries to tell us with it's propaganda that Westminster will punish us for simply holding the referendum even if the outcome is No. I honestly can't see what benefit they'd gain from an impoverished Scotland plus it would appear incredibly petty to the rest of Europe and indeed any other country in the world who is following this.

I don't believe they will "Punish us" per se, however they have more to gain than lose by being harsher on us with cuts. I genuinely don't think they care about how other nations see them tbh, this is the same UK that went into an illegal war when they knew they wouldn't get backing, the same one the lied about wmd's even when other countries were saying there were none. They think they are too big for their reputation to be a concern.

Being honest, compared to some, i don't think it's harsh to say all of us on here are relatively comfortable... i mean we all have a roof over our head, food etc.... Cars constantly needing work :laugh: . we aren't the ones at the arse end of this country. Perhaps "we" don't have it THAT bad, but that doesn't mean a huge number in our nation don't, something that is sadly seen regularly in Dundee.
 
Sorry folks, this is going to be another long post. I'm sure you've all wandered off by now and it's just Mark and I arguing with each other :laugh:

Mrcento said:
No challenge then :laugh: , there's no way any of us can say 100% for sure what will happen after yes or no, for all we know staying as we are could be a very expensive mistake too. Look at other countries that have become independent, they did it, why can't we? they were in worse places economically that us, what makes is "destined to fail"? we have a better economic track record (yes, even with the recession) and a bit of a safety net with our oil reserves and renewable potential.

Some of the countries who gained their independence from a Sovereign State are still struggling despite having years to get things right. Scotland does have a massive advantage in the oil industry which should help us not end up like Ireland however the fact remains we are voting on Thursday without a clear idea of what will happen in the event of a Yes vote. It's not like the information isn't out there for the Yes campaign to produce credible back up plans but they choose to only hint at things and prefer to wait for the negotiations to take place instead. That is not the sort of forward-thinking party I want running my country and I suspect come the election in 2016 the SNP will be out and Labour will gain power. You do realise that will mean Johann Lamont running things?




Mrcento said:
I guess that's where we differ most, they have to for me. All i wanted to hear is why we are better together, if i got clear answers to that then i would be less likely to consider a risk as a better option, but they can't even tell us what powers they are sort of "promising" let alone what benefits us already by staying. They basically failed to even acknowledge a problem, let alone convince us we are better where we are.

We are better together because we are a stronger country. Much of our export business goes to the rest of the UK - do we really want to place that in a precarious position. We already control our education system, our NHS, we have our own law system. What else do you want?



Mrcento said:
I'm going to argue this point too. Just because we "don't have it so bad" doesn't mean we can't aim for better. I'd also argue that we don't have it bad.... Lowest life expectancy in western europe, lowest standard of living in western europe, highest rate of child poverty in western europe, one of the lowest average wages in western europe... but LOOK, we've got nukes! :D

I've heard a lot of promises of what independence will achieve but the idea that breaking away from the UK will mean the Glaswegians will start to eat healthily so that they'll live longer is one of the more impressive ones :laugh: Seriously though, our benefit system is one of the best in the world so why do we still have child poverty? Something else is broken there and it's not money. Independence is not going to sort that one out only the people can.



Mrcento said:
Aberdeen to the UK isn't overly important in the grand scheme of things, to the Scottish Governement, it's our third biggest city and the main hub to a huge economic plus, i'd say the odds of it getting more attention are a little better with yes.

If the oil industry is as important as everyone says it is then that makes the hub of it i.e. Aberdeen important in the grand scheme of things. And yet we've had to fight tooth, nail and William Walden to get our bypass and everyone who has driven in the city admits the infrastructure isn't fit for purpose. We're up north so we get forgotten about - out of sight, out of mind and I can't see that changing with Holyrood running things



Mrcento said:
What would they have to do? they are fighting this with one arm tied behind their back due to Westminster not negotiating.

Have contingency plans in place and let the electorate know how they will run things if they don't get what they want in the negotiations. They insist despite a lot of evidence to the contrary that they'll get everything that they wish for. Many No voters can see that this is unlikely which is why we don't trust them to get this right. Tell us how you'll run a truly independent Scotland and they may just find some of us voting yes.



Mrcento said:
Absolutely agree, however we will use the pound, the only matter up for discussion is whether it is via a union (the sensible option for all, including rUK, more on that later) set up our own central bank and basically tie the value to the uk £ in the way some countries (successfully, i may add) do with the dollar. Aberdeen asset managment no less say regardless, either solution can work well.

Sterlingisation is most definitely an option and yet currency union is what they're insisting on. Why? If things are so rosy then lets have our own currency. Let's have proper independence and not have the Bank of England decide our interest rates.



Mrcento said:
Sadly, that is political gamesmanship. Yes won't give a worst case plan even if they have one, just as much as rUK won't give is a positive outlook.

Well they should do as not all of us believe they know what they are doing. I want independence but not at the cost of my country going to the dogs. I want to know there are solutions in hand should the worst happen and we're shunned economically by the rest of the world.



Mrcento said:
But they have touched on it, however they can't outline what will happen until they do negotiate. I believe the "no currency union" is a total bluff. As mentioned before, we are an oil producing nation, it does plug a big gap in the uk economy. Losing Scotland would tip rUK into being an oil consumer which weakens the value of the £. Having the "currencies" linked keeps the uk £ stronger. That is the real reason for companies being nervous, the UK £ dropping in value is their worry, not what happens to us, only what happens to the bigger share of their profit.

Touched on it and then walked away insisting they will get their own way regardless of what Westminster thinks. I don't think the "no currency union" is a bluff at all and if the oil industry is the saver we all think it is why do we still need to tie ourselves to a currency union. why not go down the route of sterlingisation and use our oil to establish ourselves as credit-worthy to the rest of the world? Just why do the Yes campaign want us to be independent but retain the shared bank account? Because it'll give us stability in the transition period and is in our best interests of course. But life doesn't work like that. We're either independent or we're not



Mrcento said:
Is it though? and as said, is that a good thing even if it is? they haven't convinced.

We could have that and a hell of a lot more with yes though. The Uk Government also have power to still take away other powers, giveth with one hand, taketh away with the other?

Or we could find ourselves on our own, struggling and businesses leaving because it's not worth staying in a country which has politicians making a mess of things.



Mrcento said:
Currency i mentioned earlier, Oil, we are setting up an oil fund and investing in renewables, something that the uk government is reluctant to do. There is also the potential of more oil on the west coast which the uk government will not let is extract due to the proximity to trident.

We say we're setting up an oil fund but let's not forget we're going to have to spend some money on our new independent Scotland first and where is that going to come from? Oil! Yes the Tories screwed us over back in the 70s and we're one of the few oil-producing countries without an oil fund. Unfortunately we're also seeking independence when the oil boom is already established rather than the other way round and that is going to cost us.



Mrcento said:
I kind of agree. However when your best currency plan can't be finalised due to the other party not talking for fear of making up peoples mind for their rivals, it's akin to fighting with one hand behind your back and that fear is Westminster's weapon.

Then come up with another way of doing it. The fact our politicians have allowed lack of negotiation to stop them from planning ahead and appeasing big business worries me. Instead of waiting to see what they'll get in the split they should have been coming up with a fix and then treating anything else as a big bonus. Instead we're in limbo and this will be what loses them the vote. Remember, many of us no voters actually want independence but we're not happy with how it's coming about.



Mrcento said:
I don't believe they will "Punish us" per se, however they have more to gain than lose by being harsher on us with cuts. I genuinely don't think they care about how other nations see them tbh, this is the same UK that went into an illegal war when they knew they wouldn't get backing, the same one the lied about wmd's even when other countries were saying there were none. They think they are too big for their reputation to be a concern.

Being honest, compared to some, i don't think it's harsh to say all of us on here are relatively comfortable... i mean we all have a roof over our head, food etc.... Cars constantly needing work :laugh: . we aren't the ones at the arse end of this country. Perhaps "we" don't have it THAT bad, but that doesn't mean a huge number in our nation don't, something that is sadly seen regularly in Dundee.

I think we'll have to agree to disagree about the cuts. I can't see it happening after all there's nothing to stop us from trying for independence again in 20 years time if we don't get it this time. If they want us to stay so badly and we are of such huge importance to the rest of the UK's stability then they won't **** us off. And maybe next time we'll get the campaign we deserve rather than this badly planned effort. I want an independent Scotland but I don't want to ruin Scotland in the process.

Mrcento said:
admittedly, this is pro-indy biased, however it has all its facts and opinions verifiable, it's worth a read.

http://worldofstuart.excellentcontent.com/WeeBlueBookDesktopEdition.pdf

That site was interesting but I noticed it's typical pro-indie either making assumptions about matters that still need to be confirmed or worse, stating it as fact. I was especially amused by the part on embassies. Naturally we won't be able to use UK embassies although some of the wealth from them will be passed on as part of the asset share. However as we aren't guaranteed to be part of Europe how can they state as fact we'll be able to use European embassies?
 
I have read it, i'll probably reply later on.... but i'm just warning folk in reply that it's probably gonna be long winded...... long enough to make the previous posts look like a quick note :laugh:
 
Not had time to sit and write a full reply :laugh: i think i'll just condense it and trim down the replies to more direct points :laugh:


Harper said:
Some of the countries who gained their independence from a Sovereign State are still struggling despite having years to get things right.

Yet not one has even attempted to re-join a union and not one country as wealthy as us has "failed", yes, failure IS possible, but it's also possible in the union, as we saw recently.

we are voting on Thursday without a clear idea of what will happen in the event of a Yes vote.
We also have no clear idea on what will happen after a no vote, they can't even make up their mind what powers we will get and there is rebellion backstage about the Barnett formula continuing, it will likely not go through! what happens if it doesn't? no answers.

You do realise that will mean Johann Lamont running things?

In an independent Scotland? no. If a yes vote goes through, her position is totally untenable. The only real option for Labour (and the tories, up to a point) is to re-brand to become more desirable to voters. I also believe in a Yes vote, the SNP will somewhat disband having achieved their aim. I could see a few new parties forming.

We are better together because we are a stronger country. Much of our export business goes to the rest of the UK - do we really want to place that in a precarious position.

Scare tactics. Do you really believe that just because we're independent politically, the UK will stop trading with us? Do you really think they trade with us now because of a political union or is it out of pity? I'm liable to believe it's more because the products are good and relatively local, neither of which will change if we run our own affairs.

We already control our education system, our NHS, we have our own law system. What else do you want?

Ability to control tax revenues, set our own rates of vat, laws on wages etc would be a start.

I've heard a lot of promises of what independence will achieve but the idea that breaking away from the UK will mean the Glaswegians will start to eat healthily so that they'll live longer is one of the more impressive ones :laugh:

I don't think anybody has claimed that. The problem is not just healthy eating as such, it runs deeper than that in more deprived areas. Just saying they will eat healthier because we are independent or will still just eat **** because we're not is skimming over the real problems and actually borderline insulting to those who live in such areas.

Seriously though, our benefit system is one of the best in the world so why do we still have child poverty? Something else is broken there and it's not money. Independence is not going to sort that one out only the people can.

And there in lies the problem. I've highlighted one phrase in particular. Something else is indeed broken... and partly it is money. The cost of living does not match what benefits give but that is (almost) another matter and we could go on all night about work and getting people off of benefits (some are in such a rut it is not always a quick process). Independence will not sort it? neither will staying in the system that has lead to this. People can sort it? well maybe if we had a government that had the tools to give to the people, they could.....

If the oil industry is as important as everyone says it is then that makes the hub of it i.e. Aberdeen important in the grand scheme of things. And yet we've had to fight tooth, nail and William Walden to get our bypass and everyone who has driven in the city admits the infrastructure isn't fit for purpose. We're up north so we get forgotten about - out of sight, out of mind and I can't see that changing with Holyrood running things
But that's the problem.... Aberdeen is just a glorified depot for Westminster. It's getting the money in, so why bother putting money into it? As a percentage of the economy, iScotland it will be much greater than UK at present, so to say nothing would change is pretty bleak.. if i were you i'd leave! sounds like those up there have accepted their fate! must be all the grey..... :laugh:

Sterlingisation is most definitely an option and yet currency union is what they're insisting on. Why? If things are so rosy then lets have our own currency. Let's have proper independence and not have the Bank of England decide our interest rates.
It's not that simple... Firstly, why? security and ease of trade. Particularly in the first few years of iScotland. This is not a position we are fixed to... we could theoretically have CU for 5-10 years then change currency. There is a school of thought that Sterlingisation may be better long term however if we get it right, which is more of a risk to start off with, basically it is risk management.

Well they should do as not all of us believe they know what they are doing. I want independence but not at the cost of my country going to the dogs.

Why would it?

I want to know there are solutions in hand should the worst happen and we're shunned economically by the rest of the world.

Why would we be? People will go for the products they want at the price they are willing to pay. They aren't going to say "oh, they have their own government now? **** that". In fact, most foreign countries are supportive of this, not that it will create more trade either, they equally aren't going to go "oh, they have their own government now? great, i'll buy more" (at least not long term, the interest in the indy ref may increase exposure for scottish products worldwide for a while).

Touched on it and then walked away insisting they will get their own way regardless of what Westminster thinks.

Maybe they assume (rightly or wrongly) Westminster will then do what is best for their country too?

I don't think the "no currency union" is a bluff at all and if the oil industry is the saver we all think it is why do we still need to tie ourselves to a currency union.
what do they gain by saying no? people go on about banking security "should the worst happen", they'd need to bail us out...but seeing as the banks are already located there (and some say they may move their plaques), they would have to anyway in the event of a yes or a no vote! Meanwhile, if they say yes, their currency gains some security of value.

why not go down the route of sterlingisation and use our oil to establish ourselves as credit-worthy to the rest of the world?
Doing so would see us walking away from uk debt. As said, if we get it right, that is desirable (as AAM have already stated). However it harms our security and credit rating and given that we will need to borrow to set this up, that is not desirable at this time.
We're either independent or we're not

We would be regardless.... unless you're suggesting the UK would commit financial suicide in order to try and hurt Scotland.

Or we could find ourselves on our own, struggling and businesses leaving because it's not worth staying in a country which has politicians making a mess of things.

or we could also thrive, the Scottish government as a whole has an ok record, what makes people think they will instantly ruin us through incompetence?

Meanwhile at Westminster, they've never ever, ever ****ed up.....

Unfortunately we're also seeking independence when the oil boom is already established rather than the other way round and that is going to cost us.

Agree. But it is still a case of better late than never i guess. However, also it is worth noting that oil is scarcer and we could well have huge reserves to the west (i say could, we've not been allowed to explore due to trident however on the initial survey that was allowed, a significant amount of oil was found, which has been covered up post haste).

there's nothing to stop us from trying for independence again in 20 years time if we don't get it this time.

If Westminster agree to it... the only reason they did now was because they were so confident it'd be no! hell, devolution itself was an attempt to stave off full independence!!

If they want us to stay so badly and we are of such huge importance to the rest of the UK's stability then they won't **** us off.
Or now with the threat of leaving gone, they could do what they want.


That site was interesting but I noticed it's typical pro-indie either making assumptions about matters that still need to be confirmed or worse, stating it as fact. I was especially amused by the part on embassies. Naturally we won't be able to use UK embassies although some of the wealth from them will be passed on as part of the asset share. However as we aren't guaranteed to be part of Europe how can they state as fact we'll be able to use European embassies?

Ermm..... we will still techincally be part of the UK until May 2016 regardless..... so we will be able to use these mean time. There will be a long period of transition but according to no, the sky will fall in on Friday in the event of a Yes vote! it all falls apart in one day, it won't no matter what happens!.

As for the EU, the UK are refusing to ask the process (yup we even need to go through them to find out what would happen with US!!), if people are seriously suggesting the EU wouldn't want a "rich" oil producing, resource heavy nation to join at all, that's crazy talk. The only negative voice has been from Spain trying to stave off their own indyref from the Basques. But some have alos come out and said there will be no problem, the talk of being forced to join the Euro is a red-herring, recent member states to have joined have no timetable to sign up to it.
 
Stuart said:


Christ, you'd better hope that's not prophetic. If I remember correctly that story was Winston gambling on a 6-bet accumulator and winning only to find himself still shafted when the bookie legged it with the money.



Mark, I'll reply to your post later tonight - work's getting in the way of me arguing on the internet :laugh:

Oh and you've not convinced me yet but I also haven't voted. There's still time ;)
 
I don't think i'm gonna convince you tbh :laugh:

I voted yes. I know of quite a lot of folk saying they were voting no but when they got to the polling station felt differently and have voted yes. Also seeing a lot of people on Twitter etc saying the same, which i find very interesting.
 
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