Well I never realised there were so many experts on here! You must all have rollers in your sheds!
I did this mod on an escort RS Turbo a few years ago, and we were at the rolling road with a magazine who bought with them several air filters for testing. We rollered the car as was, and the highest gain we saw was with a panel filter and a drilled airbox, 15bhp. It also had the most reasonable IAT's compared to k&n's et al.
Thats not to say you will get 15bhp in the coupe, you may get more, or less, or way less...
And to say its a chav mod, fine, thats your opinion, no problem. It'll make more noise too. Also, dont just think that because a car has an airbox it wont run any power. How does over 500bhp atw grab you? That car has an airbox....
Lets start dealing in facts here. Lets see your graphs.